2011 February Thai exports export volume reaches 188.68 billion dollars, posion gen monthly performance for historic highs, 31.0% year-on-year rate of increase. Even if not including this month that included a gold, exports increase exports also reached that Thailand with strong export growth. However, march earthquake and tsunami in Japan and triggered nuclear crisis inevitably affect exports to Thailand, at least march to April slowed exports may appear.
Taehwa farmers research center of Japanese earthquake analyzed the influence of Thai exports to Japan, and points out that the initial Thailand cargo may appear delay, meanwhile Japan as Thailand's second largest export market, how to choose you wife its consumer confidence and spending by earthquake influence will be slowed sharply. In addition, earthquake with Japanese production to affect on Thailand manufacturing. If the next 2-3 weeks Japan parts manufacturing factory is still unable to resume production, may force Thailand the downstream enterprises for lack of important parts of production line and had to disrupt production.
However, taehwa farmers research center, also have a few products expected to quickly export will be a blessing in disguise, especially food demand, rising rapidly. The next stage Japanese post-disaster reconstruction will drive building decoration materials and automotive, appliances, furniture and other products demand growth. Expect countries for Japanese exports will tend to be in the second half year, gradually improving exports to Japan can realize positive growth should be.
Taehwa farmers research center, in March 2011 expected total exports of Thailand could appear in the first quarter, but obviously slow average export benefited from the first two months of high-speed growth (26.7%) and keep 20% growth, the second quarter growth may slow down to below 10%. Taehwa farmers research center remains 2011 Thailand export growth for 8-12%, predicted in the basic circumstances not less than 10%.
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